This year’s election has been one that has run pretty close for the majority of the presidential race on the national polls. In fact, you can see how close the polls have been, and currently are, at the CNN Polling Center. The results for this final week pushing into next week’s elections have actually been tighter than ever!

Here are the most recent polling results on a national scale so you can have an idea just how close the race is currently running.

October 29th National Poll (Morning)

  • Romney 48%
  • Obama 47%

October 29th National Poll (Evening)

  • Romney 48%
  • Obama 48%

October 30th National Poll

  • Romney 48%
  • Obama 47%

As you can see from the polling results above the race is very tight. However, when we ask Americans who they think will actually win the election (not who they are voting for) they feel strongly that Obama will come out the winner. In fact, 54% think Obama will win compared to only 34% who feel confident that Romney will win. 11% still are unsure who may come out the winner.

So who will win? It is really hard to say at this point. And even if Romney received a higher percentage of votes overall nationally, he could still lose the race. This can and does happen in our presidential races because of the way our voting system is set up. We run on an electoral based system where each state is allowed a certain number of electoral votes. The Electoral College is the official body that elects the president each year. However, citizens pass votes that show the Electoral College representative in their area who they wish to win. The Electoral College delegate DOES NOT have to cast a vote for this person, but historically an overwhelming majority have. Critics argue that the Electoral College is inherently undemocratic and gives swing states disproportionate influence in electing the President and Vice President. Proponents argue that the Electoral College is an important, distinguishing feature of federalism in the United States and that it protects the rights of smaller states.

So who will win the presidential race? Obama has a pretty good lead in many of the polling results for the swing states. As we know from past elections these swing states are incredibly important because of the Electoral College.

We will continue to see polling results come in right up until Election Day. With the polling numbers remaining so close these past few weeks, I don’t anticipate seeing much change overall in the polls. The still undecided voters and third-party voters, in such a tight race, can really be the deciding factor in the overall race.

Do you follow the polling results?